Space shuttle science shows how 1908 Tunguska explosion was caused by a comet

The mysterious 1908 Tunguska explosion that levelled 830 square miles of Siberian forest was almost certainly caused by a comet entering the Earth's atmosphere, says new Cornell University research. The conclusion is supported by an unlikely source: the exhaust plume from the NASA space shuttle launched a century later.

The research, accepted for publication by the journal Geophysical Research Letters, published by the American Geophysical Union, connects the two events by what followed each about a day later: brilliant, night-visible clouds, or noctilucent clouds, that are made up of ice particles and only form at very high altitudes and in extremely cold temperatures.

'It's almost like putting together a 100-year-old murder mystery,' said Michael Kelley, the James A. Friend Family Distinguished Professor of Engineering at Cornell who led the research team. 'The evidence is pretty strong that the Earth was hit by a comet in 1908.' Previous speculation had ranged from comets to meteors.

The researchers contend that the massive amount of water vapour spewed into the atmosphere by the comet's icy nucleus was caught up in swirling eddies with tremendous energy by a process called two-dimensional turbulence, which explains why the noctilucent clouds formed a day later many thousands of miles away.

Noctilucent clouds are the Earth's highest clouds, forming naturally in the mesosphere at about 55 miles over the polar regions during the summer months when the mesosphere is around minus 180 degrees Fahrenheit (minus 117 degrees Celsius).

The space shuttle exhaust plume, the researchers say, resembled the comet's action.

A single space shuttle flight injects 300 metric tons of water vapour into the Earth's thermosphere, and the water particles have been found to travel to the Arctic and Antarctic regions, where they form the clouds after settling into the mesosphere.

Kelley and collaborators saw the noctilucent cloud phenomenon days after the space shuttle Endeavour (STS-118) launched on 8 August 2007. Similar cloud formations had been observed following launches in 1997 and 2003.

Following the 1908 explosion, known as the Tunguska Event, the night skies shone brightly for several days across Europe, particularly Great Britain - more than 3,000 miles away.

Kelley said he became intrigued by the historical eyewitness accounts of the aftermath, and concluded that the bright skies must have been the result of noctilucent clouds. The comet would have started to break up at about the same altitude as the release of the exhaust plume from the space shuttle following launch. In both cases, water vapour was injected into the atmosphere.

The scientists have attempted to answer how this water vapour travelled so far without scattering and diffusing, as conventional physics would predict.

'There is a mean transport of this material for tens of thousands of kilometres in a very short time, and there is no model that predicts that,' Kelley said. 'It's totally new and unexpected physics.'

This 'new' physics, the researchers contend, is tied up in counter-rotating eddies with extreme energy. Once the water vapour got caught up in these eddies, the water travelled very quickly - close to 300 feet per second.

Scientists have long tried to study the wind structure in these upper regions of the atmosphere, which is difficult to do by such traditional means as sounding rockets, balloon launches and satellites, explained Charlie Seyler, Cornell professor of electrical engineering and paper co-author.

'Our observations show that current understanding of the mesosphere-lower thermosphere region is quite poor,' Seyler said. The thermosphere is the layer of the atmosphere above the mesosphere.